4 stars

mar 9 - good colin marshall podcast interviewing Ian Ayres on coming importance of supercrunching and statistics

  • "we're going to have to get used to the fact that machines will beat us at statistical prediction, but at least for the present, to hypothesize is essentially human"
  • "thinking by numbers is the new way to be smart"
  • "he was able to predict the quality of bordeaux vintages by supercrunching numbers about rainfall and weather patterns"
  • "statistical prediction often does better than legal experts"
  • "everybody in law knows that the supreme court hates california"
  • "over the last 15 years, supercrunching has become better than intuition"
  • "looking someone in the eye and deciding if they are a bad risk to lend to was a bad business model"
  • "if I were in highschool and good at math, I would seriously get into statistics and supercrunching"
  • "when we rely on bad supercrunching in medicine, people can lose their lives"
  • "metasupercrunching: supercrunching supercrunched statistics"
  • "supercrunching algorithms can admit the percentage of time that they are right and wrong, human experts have a problem with that"
  • "definitely when you are into terabytes, I'd call that supercrunching, but it's more the speed, and that can happen on smaller datasets"
  • "in a world where your website is getting millions of hits a day, you can run a randomized experiment to decide whether you should show a kitten or puppy on the first page"
  • "graphic designers aren't smarter than a large group of 5th graders crowdsourced to find out what they like" (ian ayres)
  • "poor man's supercrunching: create adword ads for your site and look at the click-through rates on each"
  • "intuative people will still be needed but they need to be able to put their efficiency to the test"
  • "I want ads targeted toward me"
  • "from a statistics perspective, most of our relatives have died in vain, medical histories have just been thrown away"
  • "the problem about medical records is doctors weren't uniform in how they kept them"
  • "we should donate our medical data for altruistic supercrunching just as we should donate our organs"
  • "no one should leave college without a course in statistics"
  • "if you don't have an intuitive sense of what standard deviation is, then you are on the wrong side of the supercrunching divide"
  • "statistics should replace calculus as the capstone math course of highschool, it's much more useful and important in life"
  • "supercrunching is the new fortune telling"

Notes on other podcasts:

Most of what I currently listen to is .NET related and quite a bit on technology in general and how it is impacting society. I listen to an occasional historical or philosophical podcast.

I record these notes as a way of extracting the gems and remember facts from these podcasts: phrases that ring true or new terms that I look up later. If you see someone walking around Berlin speaking short phrases into his cell phone every couple minutes, that's me.

Follow me on twitter or check out my main site at tanguay.info.